Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.410660 0.472452 0.537173 0.609734 0.688532 0.771247 0.864364
2024-12-22 0.312948 0.396422 0.489156 0.598686 0.723409 0.859964 1.019723
2024-12-29 0.261246 0.361309 0.478417 0.622933 0.793878 0.987218 1.219984
2025-01-05 0.210046 0.318276 0.451785 0.623637 0.834202 1.079367 1.381960
2025-01-12 0.170619 0.283313 0.429624 0.625476 0.873125 1.168826 1.541560
2025-01-19 0.144021 0.260788 0.419681 0.639842 0.925799 1.274457 1.721528
2025-01-26 0.124251 0.244444 0.415314 0.659497 0.984146 1.387087 1.911208
2025-02-02 0.107689 0.230030 0.411458 0.678297 1.040662 1.497594 2.099445
2025-02-09 0.088231 0.207634 0.393456 0.675552 1.067443 1.569909 2.240403
2025-02-16 0.075392 0.193926 0.386495 0.686894 1.112225 1.665093 2.410673
2025-02-23 0.061688 0.175999 0.370930 0.684144 1.136678 1.733389 2.546910
2025-03-02 0.046423 0.151570 0.342078 0.659247 1.128438 1.757349 2.625400
2025-03-09 0.039173 0.142163 0.337476 0.671100 1.172920 1.853269 2.800279
2025-03-16 0.029898 0.125683 0.318723 0.659492 1.182850 1.902422 2.914388
2025-03-23 0.026570 0.122662 0.323661 0.685442 1.247807 2.027221 3.129742
2025-03-30 0.021081 0.112255 0.313646 0.686254 1.275246 2.100598 3.277403
2025-04-06 0.016651 0.103116 0.304870 0.688250 1.303988 2.175755 3.427925
2025-04-13 0.013973 0.098359 0.304192 0.703578 1.352912 2.279469 3.617742
2025-04-20 0.012058 0.095435 0.306876 0.724520 1.410553 2.395881 3.825594
2025-04-27 0.010332 0.092474 0.309099 0.744535 1.466945 2.511038 4.032686
2025-05-04 0.007690 0.084244 0.298808 0.741620 1.487182 2.574682 4.169770
2025-05-11 0.006187 0.080041 0.297011 0.753688 1.530966 2.672327 4.354170
2025-05-18 0.004420 0.072913 0.287422 0.750765 1.550514 2.734964 4.490598